Daily maximum temperature predictions, 1981-2100
Beskrivning
Daily maximum temperature for Finland over the period 1981-2100. Ensemble mean of 13 downscaled CMIP5 GCMs.
Time step = 1 day.
Unit = Celsius degree
Atmospheric concentrations trajectory = Representative Concentration Pathway RCP2.6, RCP4.5 or RCP8.5
Downscaling_method = A two-step delta change method that takes into account projected changes both in daily mean and daily maximum temperature. First, for daily mean temperature, a delta change method is used that takes into account projected absolute changes in climatological average temperature and relative changes in standard deviations of daily mean temperature (M2 in Räisänen and Räty, 2013; DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1515-9). Second, the maximum temperature is calculated by adding the difference of maximum and mean temperature to downscaled mean temperature and taking account the projected relative change in climatological difference between maximum and mean temperatures. A window of 30 days is used.
Baseline_period = 1981-2010.
Baseline_data = FMI ClimGrid, Aalto et al. (2016), doi:10.1002/2015JD024651
Coordinate Reference System: WGS84/ETRS-TM35FIN (EPSG:3067)
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2019
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