Tools for safe iterative Bayesian model building

Bidragets beskrivning

Statistical analysis is fundamental to science, and support decision-making in the public and private sectors. While statistical algorithms have advanced rapidly, software support and modelers' knowledge have failed to keep pace. This mismatch has resulted in suboptimal statistical workflows contributing to the reproducibility crisis in science. My team has significantly advanced the development of both theory and methods for safe iterative model building. Nonetheless, they have not yet been widely adopted by users. This is because implementing statistical methods in software is far from trivial, requiring careful consideration of mathematical, algorithmic, and computer limitations, implementation details, and human cognitive constraints. This project will significantly improve open-source software tools for safe iterative Bayesian model building, with immediate high impact, enhancing the efficiency, flexibility, and trustworthiness of model building.
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Startår

2026

Slutår

2027

Beviljade finansiering

Aki Vehtari Orcid -palvelun logo
300 000 €

Finansiär

Finlands Akademi

Typ av finansiering

Akademiprojekt med särskild inriktning

Beslutfattare

Suomen akatemian muu päättäjä
03.11.2025

Övriga uppgifter

Finansieringsbeslutets nummer

372494

Vetenskapsområden

Data- och informationsvetenskap

Forskningsområden

Laskennallinen data-analyysi

Identifierade teman

computer science, information science, algorithms